Ancelotti hoping for more of the same

Soccer Betting Lines

05/07/2010 - London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chelsea is just one win away from claiming its third Premiership title in six years, and with a home contest against bottom-half side Wigan on Sunday, the Blues will be firm favorites to get the win.

Chelsea is coming off of a 2-0 win over Liverpool at Anfield last time out, and manager Carlo Ancelotti is hoping that his players will approach this Sunday's match in the same way they prepared for the Reds.

"I saw my players focused during the week and they knew very well how important the game was," Ancelotti said of the Liverpool game. "This weekend is the same, to be champions we have to play as we played against Liverpool.

"We have to maintain the same confidence in our play, the same determination because nothing is decided. We have to pay a lot of attention because there are not other games, if you miss this game you do not have the possibility of recovery.

"We are in a very good situation, we wanted to arrive at the end of the season with more points but we can decide our destiny in our home at Stamford Bridge so this is a good thing."

Wigan may have just secured safety, but they have vowed to make things difficult for Chelsea, and they will be hoping for a repeat of their 3-1 win over the Blues at the DW Stadium in September.

In addition to their win over Ancelotti's men, the Latics have beaten Arsenal and Liverpool as well, and defender Mario Melchiot feels that his team is in a good position to pull off another upset.

"You look at the teams we've beaten like Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool, and take all the stuff we've done. I think it's looking really good for us," said Melchiot, a former Chelsea defender.

"The Premier League has been very exciting this season. Everybody can beat each other and that's a situation that's developing all the time."

Manchester United enters the final day one point back of Chelsea, and they will be hoping that Wigan can take at least a draw away from Stamford Bridge, which would allow United to claim a fourth successive title with a win over Stoke City.

Arsenal can lock up third place with a win at home against Fulham, while Tottenham visits Burnley having already secured the fourth and final Champions League spot, allowing Spurs to make their first ever appearance in the competition.

Manchester City has to settle for a place in the Europa League after their 1-0 defeat to Tottenham in midweek, and the Citizens will finish up their season at West Ham, while sixth-placed Aston Villa hosts Blackburn.

Liverpool's disappointing campaign comes to an end at relegated Hull City, Bolton hosts Birmingham, Portsmouth visits Everton and Sunderland travels to Wolverhampton.

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SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.

Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"

A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."

Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.

In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.

"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."

Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.

But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"

Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.

This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.

Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.

In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.

No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.

And that's all any bettor can ask for.

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